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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Niagara Purple Eagles Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 14.6% 85.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.4% 82.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Niagara Purple Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sabino 33 4-6 1-2 5-5 8 0 2 0 4 14 14 -
B. Griffith 26 3-9 2-6 5-5 1 3 2 0 4 13 6 -
R. Prudhomme 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Hawkins 24 1-5 0-2 1-1 3 3 2 0 0 3 6 -
T. Walters 24 2-7 1-2 5-7 1 3 0 0 0 10 7 -
V. Zanki 23 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
D. Larson 16 1-3 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
K. Tshibangu 11 3-3 0-0 0-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
W. Shortt 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 2 -1 -
L. Williams 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
G. Dalmau 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Page 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Keyes 33 6-13 2-6 2-2 6 5 6 0 0 16 20 -
X. Lipscomb 31 3-7 1-2 0-1 3 2 2 0 2 7 5 -
A. Khadre Kebe 29 3-10 0-3 2-4 10 3 1 0 1 8 11 -
L. McEldon 28 11-12 0-0 3-3 6 2 0 0 1 25 20 -
A. Arrington Jr. 20 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 5 0 -
J. Amadi 19 3-5 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 4 8 2 -
P. Haigh 14 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Y. Diop 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. So 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
E. Espinosa 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Miller IV 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter