Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 40 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | +3.8 |
| G. Doty | 36 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +4.9 |
| C. Jones | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| F. Folefac | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +4.0 |
| B. Coyle | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
| R. Mulvey | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| I. Henderson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +1.5 |
| A. Chandler | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.1 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hawkins | 38 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | -4.0 |
| V. Zanki | 34 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -6.3 |
| L. Williams | 34 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -3.9 |
| R. Prudhomme | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| T. Walters | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.5 |
| J. Sabino | 22 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +0.7 |
| W. Shortt | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| B. Griffith | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter