Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Williams | 31 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| W. Shortt | 31 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| V. Zanki | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Griffith | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Walters | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Sabino | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Prudhomme | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Tshibangu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Larson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Burton | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| C. Smith | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Bynum | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Z. Cruz | 28 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Fuller | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Coulibaly | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Helterhoff | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. McNeil | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wilson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. McCabe | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Diallo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter