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NC State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State
Program History
Coach: Kevin Keatts

2023 Team Stats (20 games)

76.3
PPG
71.5
Opp
+3.7
Margin
45.0%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
35.4
RPG
11.2
APG
8.5
TO
79.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1271 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1395 (#34) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +38.6 (#31) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.602 (#32) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.7 More → 0.624 (#95) NetEff +4.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.585 (#54) AdjNet +3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.586 (#54) AdjNet +3.0

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-11 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 73 - 67
2022-11-24 vs Dayton Flyers W 76 - 64
2022-11-29 vs William & Mary Tribe W 85 - 64
2022-12-02 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 60 - 68
2023-01-04 vs Duke Blue Devils W 84 - 60
2023-01-07 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 73 - 69
2023-01-14 vs Miami Hurricanes W 83 - 81
2023-01-17 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 78 - 66
2023-01-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 80
2023-01-24 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 85 - 82
2023-01-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 77
2023-02-01 vs Florida State Seminoles W 94 - 66
2023-02-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 72 - 64
2023-02-07 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 50 - 63
2023-02-11 @ Boston College Eagles W 92 - 62
2023-02-14 @ Syracuse Orange L 72 - 75
2023-02-19 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 77 - 69
2023-02-25 vs Clemson Tigers L 71 - 96
2023-02-28 @ Duke Blue Devils L 67 - 71
2023-03-08 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 97 - 77
2023-03-09 @ Clemson Tigers L 54 - 80
2023-03-17 @ Creighton Bluejays L 63 - 72

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terquavion Smith Terquavion Smith - 22 34.2 17.5 3.5 3.7 1.3 0.3 2.3 14.8 9.2 21 2.3 8.1 37.2 33.3 72.3 0.63 53.1 44.9
Jarkel Joiner Jarkel Joiner - 22 36.5 16.8 5.3 3.7 1.5 0.0 1.4 13.4 12.6 - - - 39.1 33.3 91.0 - 56.3 46.1
DJ Burns Jr. DJ Burns Jr. - 22 23.6 13.4 4.5 1.7 0.7 0.9 2.1 10.9 8.3 40 4.0 6.0 55.2 0 54.3 1.01 56.9 55.2
C. Morsell C. Morsell - 22 36.0 10.8 4.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.8 7.8 9.1 - - - 42.7 34.9 74.2 - 64.2 53.5
D. Mahorcic D. Mahorcic - 1 25.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 80.0 0 50.0 - 76.5 80.0
Jack Clark Jack Clark F 10 26.5 8.8 7.0 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.3 7.1 11.2 40 5.0 29.4 45.1 25.0 100.0 0.75 60.8 51.4
E. Ross E. Ross F 22 11.5 3.9 2.6 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 2.5 4.8 - - - 53.6 33.3 63.3 0.02 62.1 56.2
Greg Gantt Jr. Greg Gantt Jr. F 18 18.7 2.3 4.8 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.9 6.4 -28 -2.8 -7.3 45.7 33.3 71.4 -0.02 53.8 48.6
LJ Thomas LJ Thomas G 20 9.1 2.1 1.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.0 -41 -3.4 -5.1 46.7 36.4 50.0 0.16 64.3 53.3
E. Dowuona E. Dowuona F 20 12.8 1.8 2.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 1.6 3.5 - - - 48.4 0 60.0 - 50.8 48.4
Breon Pass Breon Pass G 19 6.5 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 - - - 42.1 33.3 100.0 - 57.8 50.0
J. Snell J. Snell G 6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 25.0 0.0
I. Miranda I. Miranda F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -17 -2.8 -9.5 - - - -0.21 - -
C. Graham C. Graham - 7 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
A. Nunnally A. Nunnally - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
KJ Keatts KJ Keatts G 6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG