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2023-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Log Adjusted 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (97-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Pedulla * 33 3-10 3-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 9 3 -
MJ Collins * 33 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
H. Cattoor * 32 3-10 1-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 9 1 -
G. Basile * 25 4-7 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 11 6 -
J. Mutts * 22 6-10 0-1 3-4 5 3 0 1 4 15 10 -
L. Kidd 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
R. Rice 19 5-7 5-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
M. Poteat 12 1-1 0-0 6-7 3 2 0 0 0 8 12 -
J. Camden 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Dawyot 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ward 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 38 11-13 5-7 3-5 8 3 1 0 1 30 28 -
C. Morsell * 36 2-7 1-5 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 3 -
J. Joiner * 34 8-15 2-4 2-2 7 10 1 0 0 20 23 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 1 4 3 2 -
G. Gantt Jr. * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 8 -
E. Dowuona 24 5-7 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 1 11 10 -
J. Clark 19 5-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 4 -
B. Pass 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
E. Ross 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
LJ Thomas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Snell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
KJ Keatts 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Graham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter