Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (63-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 40 | 7-20 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| J. Joiner * | 39 | 2-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 38 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| G. Gantt Jr. * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Ross | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Dowuona | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Pass | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Vander Plas * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. McKneely | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Dunn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter