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NC State Wolfpack 63
@
Creighton Bluejays 72
2023-03-17

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% - ✓
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% - ✓

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clark * 39 1-6 1-3 0-0 10 0 1 0 0 3 8 -
J. Joiner * 36 5-18 0-5 3-4 6 2 0 0 0 13 3 -
C. Morsell * 35 4-6 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
T. Smith * 34 12-27 1-5 7-9 2 1 1 1 3 32 7 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
E. Dowuona 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Pass 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Ross 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
LJ Thomas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nembhard * 38 4-9 0-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 10 8 -
R. Kalkbrenner * 38 11-14 1-1 8-9 7 2 0 3 1 31 28 -
T. Alexander * 37 4-12 0-4 1-2 2 2 2 1 2 9 2 -
A. Kaluma * 33 2-6 0-3 6-6 9 4 0 1 2 10 16 -
B. Scheierman * 27 4-12 2-8 0-0 6 4 0 1 3 10 6 -
F. Farabello 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Miller 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. King 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter