Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | -6.5 | ✗ (30.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +24 (84-60). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Filipowski * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 23 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Young | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Schutt | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Christian Reeves | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kale Catchings | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Morsell * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 35 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Terquavion Smith * | 34 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Greg Gantt Jr. * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Breon Pass | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Snell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter