Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Camara * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Smith * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | - |
| D. Holmes II * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Sharavjamts * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| R.J. Blakney | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Amzil | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Nwokeji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Uhl | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Amaefule | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Locklear | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hatkevich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Nunnally | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Schuler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Clark | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Mahorcic | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Dowuona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | - |
| J. Joiner * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Ross | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Snell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter