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2022-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Camara * 35 9-16 0-4 1-2 7 3 1 0 1 19 13 -
K. Elvis * 34 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 2 4 -
M. Smith * 32 3-10 0-2 3-4 1 6 1 0 7 9 0 -
D. Holmes II * 32 6-11 0-0 5-6 6 0 2 0 3 17 11 -
M. Sharavjamts * 27 2-5 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
R.J. Blakney 24 4-5 0-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Amzil 8 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Z. Nwokeji 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Uhl 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Amaefule 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Locklear 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hatkevich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Nunnally 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Schuler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clark 34 5-9 0-3 0-0 9 1 2 1 0 10 14 -
D. Mahorcic 25 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 2 9 8 -
E. Dowuona 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Morsell * 38 3-10 2-6 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 8 8 -
T. Smith * 37 4-13 2-7 1-2 3 6 1 0 8 11 0 -
J. Joiner * 32 7-12 2-5 11-13 3 0 2 0 0 27 20 -
DJ Burns Jr. 14 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
LJ Thomas 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
E. Ross 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
C. Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
KJ Keatts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Snell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter