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NC State Wolfpack 72
@
Syracuse Orange 75
2023-02-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - ✗
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 ✗ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - ✗
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% - ✗

Actual: Syracuse Orange +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Morsell * 39 3-11 1-9 2-2 5 2 2 1 3 9 5 -
T. Smith * 38 5-16 4-12 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 14 7 -
J. Joiner * 38 6-17 3-9 0-0 10 11 3 0 1 15 21 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 24 7-10 0-0 1-3 3 4 0 1 4 15 9 -
G. Gantt Jr. * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Clark 31 7-14 1-4 0-0 9 1 2 0 0 15 13 -
E. Dowuona 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
E. Ross 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
LJ Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Pass 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Edwards * 40 5-14 1-1 7-8 16 2 2 4 1 18 27 -
J. Mintz * 39 7-12 1-2 5-5 3 9 0 0 1 20 19 -
M. Brown * 37 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 10 9 -
J. Girard III * 37 5-14 2-6 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 14 5 -
C. Bell * 34 4-12 1-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 11 3 -
J. Taylor 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Torrence 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
B. Williams 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter