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Murray State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History
Coach: Steve Prohm

2012 Team Stats (22 games)

73.2
PPG
61.4
Opp
+11.8
Margin
46.9%
FG%
39.2%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
34.6
RPG
12.1
APG
13.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.5
Adj PPG
59.9
Adj Opp PPG
#43
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1310 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1377 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1182 (#9) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +9.8 (#45) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +9.5 (#50) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.874 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.832 (#55) AdjNet +13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.833 (#55) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 59.9 More → 0.706 (#43) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 59.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 57.7 More → 0.687 (#28) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 57.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.793 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.790 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 30 More → 1342 (#10) RD 128 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Harris Stowe Hornets W 76 - 49
2011-11-14 @ Morgan State Bears W 80 - 69
2011-11-17 vs Tenn Temple Crusaders W 83 - 41
2011-11-20 @ UAB Blazers W 62 - 55
2011-11-23 @ Alaska Anchorage Seawolves W 64 - 62
2011-11-25 @ San Francisco Dons W 70 - 67
2011-11-26 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 90 - 81
2011-12-01 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 70 - 59
2011-12-04 vs Dayton Flyers W 75 - 58
2011-12-11 @ Memphis Tigers W 76 - 72
2011-12-15 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 89 - 65
2011-12-17 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 66 - 53
2011-12-21 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 78 - 54
2011-12-30 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 73 - 40
2012-01-04 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 76 - 67
2012-01-07 @ Austin Peay Governors W 87 - 75
2012-01-12 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 66 - 55
2012-01-14 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 82 - 74
2012-01-18 @ Morehead State Eagles W 66 - 60
2012-01-21 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 82 - 65
2012-01-28 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 73 - 58
2012-02-02 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 81 - 73
2012-02-04 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 65 - 58
2012-02-09 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 68 - 72
2012-02-11 vs Austin Peay Governors W 82 - 63
2012-02-15 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 75 - 66
2012-02-18 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 65 - 51
2012-02-23 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 80 - 62
2012-02-25 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 69 - 64
2012-03-02 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 78 - 58
2012-03-03 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 54 - 52
2012-03-15 vs Colorado State Rams W 58 - 41
2012-03-17 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 53 - 62

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Canaan Isaiah Canaan G 32 33.7 19.0 3.4 3.7 1.4 0.1 2.8 9.1 15.7 182 18 10.1 12.5 45.7 45.0 81.8 0.57 85.8 58.1
Donte Poole Donte Poole G 32 31.1 14.1 3.5 1.5 1.9 0.2 1.9 7.2 12.0 213 18 11.8 15.4 43.7 38.1 83.2 4.13 81.7 54.8
Ivan Aska Ivan Aska F 26 27.3 10.3 5.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 5.4 11.0 125 14 8.9 13.6 50.4 66.7 83.3 1.71 81.0 51.1
Jewuan Long Jewuan Long G 32 27.8 8.7 2.9 2.5 1.2 0.7 2.0 5.3 8.7 121 18 6.7 10.4 50.9 40.0 69.2 -0.35 72.4 55.6
Edward Daniel Edward Daniel F 32 23.9 6.9 5.7 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.4 3.1 11.5 110 18 6.1 10.3 58.6 50.0 62.1 1.38 80.9 59.6
Zay Jackson Zay Jackson G 32 18.5 5.0 2.1 2.3 1.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 5.9 143 18 7.9 17.9 38.8 29.3 66.0 4.83 63.7 44.7
Stacy Wilson Stacy Wilson G-F 31 10.7 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.3 36 17 2.1 9.2 45.7 38.1 50.0 -3.56 90.3 57.1
Latreze Mushatt Latreze Mushatt F 32 19.8 4.3 4.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.2 2.6 7.0 80 18 4.4 9.6 47.6 41.7 46.2 -2.14 69.1 50.6
Brandon Garrett Brandon Garrett F 31 11.5 2.3 2.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 3.2 87 18 4.8 20.7 42.9 0 51.7 2.3 63.9 42.9
Jaylen Bland Jaylen Bland G 12 6.2 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 -3 7 -0.4 -3.6 40.0 12.5 42.9 -2.42 55.3 43.3
Harley Nussman Harley Nussman F 6 2.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.2 - - - - 33.3 0 0 -0.92 33.3 33.3
Jordan Burge Jordan Burge G 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG