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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (5.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Townsel * 38 7-16 3-7 0-0 2 5 3 0 5 17 6 -
M. Kirkland * 34 2-4 0-0 1-1 12 1 2 0 1 5 15 -
B. Peterson * 33 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Hooten * 28 2-7 1-2 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
T. Finn * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
A. Sterrenberg 26 3-6 1-3 3-6 1 0 0 0 2 10 3 -
B. Clark 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Griswold 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Zuppardo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Dickerson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Canaan * 35 7-12 6-10 1-1 2 2 5 0 2 21 16 -
I. Aska * 31 5-13 0-0 4-4 11 0 0 1 1 14 12 -
D. Poole * 29 5-11 0-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 11 8 -
J. Long * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 6 5 -
E. Daniel * 24 1-2 0-0 3-7 3 0 0 1 2 5 5 -
Z. Jackson 18 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 3 5 5 -
L. Mushatt 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
S. Wilson 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Garrett 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter