Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (66-53). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Townsel * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Clark | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darion Griswold | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnny Zuppardo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 35 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Garrett | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter