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2011-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Margin 81.7% 18.3% -8.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -11 (59-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Canaan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 18 21 -
Donte Poole * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 13 -
Ivan Aska * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 14 21 -
Jewuan Long * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 7 -
Edward Daniel * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 8 14 -
Latreze Mushatt 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 9 14 -
Stacy Wilson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Zay Jackson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Brandon Garrett 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Gordon * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 6 8 -
George Fant * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 8 17 -
Teeng Akol * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 2 8 13 -
Kevin Kaspar * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 11 -
Kahlil McDonald * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
Jamal Crook 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 20 22 -
T.J. Price 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 4 8 -
Kene Anyigbo 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 6 -
O'Karo Akamune 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Vinny Zollo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter