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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Margin 83.4% 16.6% -8.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte Poole * 37 2-7 1-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 7 6 -
Isaiah Canaan * 35 5-13 3-8 5-5 3 4 2 0 3 18 11 -
Jewuan Long * 28 4-9 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 3 9 5 -
Edward Daniel * 24 4-5 0-0 1-4 3 1 1 4 1 9 12 -
Ivan Aska * 24 3-8 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Latreze Mushatt 24 2-2 0-0 2-6 3 0 0 0 3 6 4 -
Zay Jackson 19 2-5 1-2 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 9 10 -
Brandon Garrett 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Stacy Wilson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zac Swansey * 39 5-13 1-4 0-0 3 6 2 0 3 11 6 -
Kevin Murphy * 38 9-19 7-12 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 26 12 -
Jud Dillard * 29 5-7 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 1 3 12 14 -
Terrell Barnes * 27 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Bassey Inameti * 18 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Zach Bailey 30 3-7 2-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 5 9 6 -
Liam McMorrow 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Javon McKay 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chase Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter