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Murray State

Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History

2009 Team Stats (1 games)

50.0
PPG
67.0
Opp
-17.0
Margin
32.8%
FG%
0.0%
3P%
70.6%
FT%
34.0
RPG
7.0
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.8
Adj PPG
61.5
Adj Opp PPG
#128
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 989 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1030 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 1054 (#96) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +2.2 (#134) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +1.5 (#142) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.663 (#94) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.0 More โ†’ 0.557 (#142) AdjNet +2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.0 More โ†’ 0.558 (#142) AdjNet +2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.552 (#128) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 61.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.557 (#120) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.562 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.563 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1013 (#147) RD 149 | GP 29

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-15 vs Lyon College Scots W 84 - 46
2008-11-19 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 47 - 55
2008-11-22 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 89 - 61
2008-11-26 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 67 - 61
2008-11-29 vs St. Catharine Patriots W 76 - 66
2008-12-04 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 58 - 50
2008-12-06 @ Morehead State Eagles L 74 - 79
2008-12-13 @ Missouri Tigers L 64 - 75
2008-12-20 @ South Florida Bulls L 64 - 73
2008-12-21 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 78 - 76
2008-12-22 @ Wright State Raiders L 41 - 57
2008-12-29 vs Niagara Purple Eagles L 71 - 80
2009-01-05 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 71 - 75
2009-01-08 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 75 - 71
2009-01-10 vs Austin Peay Governors L 57 - 58
2009-01-15 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 63 - 56
2009-01-17 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 55 - 61
2009-01-22 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 58 - 46
2009-01-24 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 80 - 55
2009-02-04 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 88 - 58
2009-02-07 @ Austin Peay Governors L 80 - 83
2009-02-09 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 59 - 53
2009-02-12 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 73 - 52
2009-02-14 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 57 - 54
2009-02-17 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 79 - 60
2009-02-21 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 60 - 69
2009-02-23 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 74 - 59
2009-02-26 vs Morehead State Eagles W 69 - 64
2009-02-28 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 70 - 65
2009-03-03 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 88 - 74
2009-03-06 @ Austin Peay Governors L 50 - 67

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.