Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -7 (56-63). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isacc Miles * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jeffery McClain * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Thomas * | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Danero Thomas * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Holloway | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tony Easley | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Donte Poole | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Matt Fraliex | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Georges Fotso | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Bray * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Bynum * | 39 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Crawford * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Nick Murphy * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jonathan Toles * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Amadou Mbodji | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Geddes Robinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Barnes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter