Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Aska | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Thomas | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Thomas | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| I. Miles | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. McClain | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Easley | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Holloway | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Long | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Morgan | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Boone | 31 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Lance | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Bryant | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. McKinney | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Koggu | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Brown | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Handy | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter