Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | -15.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -19 (60-79). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isacc Miles | 33 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| T. Holloway | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Danero Thomas | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Easley | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| I. Aska | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. McClain | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Fraliex | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Key | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Herring | 38 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K. Moore | 36 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Maxwell | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Bijon Jones | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| L. Russell | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| I. Kirk | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter