Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks +4 (75-71). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 35 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| I. Aska | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. McClain | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Isacc Miles | 30 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| T. Holloway | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Danero Thomas | 26 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Poole | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Easley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Fraliex | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Hudson | 38 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| M. Weddle | 34 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| O. Hay | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Riedewald | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Lane | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Clayton | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Simmons | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Massey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Irarrazabal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M.J. Brown | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter