Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +5 (69-64). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stallworth | 38 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Shingles | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Buchanan | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Demonte Harper | 34 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Peterson | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Murry | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Hill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Echols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danero Thomas | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Isacc Miles | 36 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| T. Holloway | 34 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Easley | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. McClain | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| I. Aska | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Fraliex | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter