Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -8 (50-58). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClain | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| I. Miles | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Thomas | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Thomas | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Holloway | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Easley | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| I. Aska | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Long | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Fraliex | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rose | 37 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Oppong | 31 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Stommes | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Ellis | 29 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Taylor | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Wiersma | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Hunter | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Lewis | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Camacho | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter