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Murray State

Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

79.0
PPG
66.8
Opp
+6.0
Margin
49.1%
FG%
42.3%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
14.0
APG
12.0
TO
77.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1555 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1301 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 993 (#385) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +26.7 (#121) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.2 (#176) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.7 More → 0.744 (#46) NetEff +9.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.582 (#120) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.728 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.701 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 31 More → 1103 (#121) RD 151 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Canaan I. Canaan G 31 36.5 21.8 3.5 4.3 1.5 0.1 3.2 3.4 24.7 - - - 49.1 40.4 83.3 1.25 277.4 59.0
S. Wilson S. Wilson G-F 31 30.2 13.5 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 2.8 2.1 16.3 150 4.8 7.3 45.3 35.5 78.9 0.61 288.8 53.9
E. Daniel E. Daniel F 31 29.6 13.2 10.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.0 1.2 23.9 258 8.3 12.9 54.1 0 57.1 2.22 349.2 54.1
B. Garrett B. Garrett F 31 24.6 6.6 5.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.0 11.4 118 3.8 7.4 70.0 0 70.6 0.36 274.8 70.0
D. Fields D. Fields G 31 26.8 6.5 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.1 0.9 9.6 67 2.2 3.7 41.4 42.9 50.0 -0.29 339.7 62.1
L. Mushatt L. Mushatt F 17 20.6 4.4 3.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.9 7.4 26 1.5 2.6 37.5 25.0 25.0 -0.19 211.1 40.6
J. Moss J. Moss F 29 21.4 4.4 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.0 0.8 6.8 146 5.0 7.8 26.1 26.7 100.0 0.9 260.5 34.8
T. Rambo T. Rambo F 12 7.5 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 2.2 5 0.3 1.7 0.0 0 100.0 -0.23 406.6 0.0
E. McCree E. McCree F 20 10.2 1.9 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 3.5 38 1.7 5.8 20.0 0.0 100.0 -0.16 182.0 20.0
T. Gilmore T. Gilmore F 11 10.1 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.0 -23 -1.8 -6.2 100.0 0 100.0 -0.64 531.9 100.0
C.J. Ford C.J. Ford G 26 9.0 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.3 2.8 30 1.2 3.4 22.2 25.0 100.0 -0.05 182.2 27.8
Z. Henderson Z. Henderson F 15 6.9 1.3 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 2.7 37 2.3 9.3 66.7 0 0.0 0.46 155.3 66.7
J. Burge J. Burge G 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG