Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Canaan * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| E. Daniel * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 27 | - |
| S. Wilson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| D. Fields * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| B. Garrett * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Moss | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| E. McCree | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Z. Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | - |
| V. Sanford * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 34 | - |
| J. Benson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| M. Derenbecker | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Price | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter