Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | -4.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | +0.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -20 (59-79). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 26 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ed Daniel * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 21 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Terron Gilmore | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erik McCree | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Zay Henderson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Burge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Sullivan * | 24 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Josh Wallace * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shareif Adamu * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Price | 19 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brian Greene Jr. | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Granger | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter