Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | -3.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +1 (65-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 37 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Ed Daniel * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Erik McCree | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Williams * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Tarvin Gaines * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Mason Leggett * | 32 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Boggs * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nick Cook * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rinaldo Mafra | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rico Sanders | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Deanes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter