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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -1.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -8 (66-74). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stacy Wilson * 39 4-14 3-9 3-3 6 2 2 1 2 14 9 -
Isaiah Canaan * 39 8-18 3-8 9-12 8 2 1 0 3 28 18 -
Ed Daniel * 37 6-11 0-1 3-7 17 0 1 0 4 15 18 -
Brandon Garrett * 31 3-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 0 2 7 6 -
Dexter Fields * 22 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
Jeffery Moss 25 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Zay Henderson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nino Johnson * 36 3-6 0-1 0-1 8 2 0 1 2 6 9 -
Tyler Stone * 35 7-18 1-3 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 16 6 -
Lucas Nutt * 33 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 10 1 0 2 4 10 -
Corey Wilford * 33 5-13 3-9 2-4 3 5 1 0 0 15 11 -
A.J. Jones * 27 7-10 3-3 3-3 0 0 0 0 2 20 8 -
Nick Niemczyk 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Marland Smith 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Jared White 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jacob Tolbert 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter