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2013-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Kentucky Colonels Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walden * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 13 21 -
G. Cosey * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 13 24 -
M. DiNunno * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 15 20 -
E. Stutz * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 18 27 -
T. Johnson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 12 -
O. Williams 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Lewis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
J. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Canaan * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 1 4 29 37 -
Stacy Wilson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 17 25 -
Brandon Garrett * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 11 16 -
Dexter Fields * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 13 -
Edward Daniel * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 9 14 -
Latreze Mushatt 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 2 0 5 17 -
Jeffery Moss 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 7 -
C.J. Ford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter