Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harrison * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 35 | - |
| A. Garrett * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Sampson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| P. Greene IV * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| C. Jones * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Obekpa | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| F. Balamou | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Bourgault | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Pointer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Erik McCree | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terron Gilmore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter