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Murray State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History
Coach: Steve Prohm

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

79.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
49.1%
FG%
42.3%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
14.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
66.1
Adj Opp PPG
#134
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1070 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1097 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1025 (#128) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +2.1 (#137) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +0.3 (#164) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.662 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.594 (#138) AdjNet +3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.594 (#139) AdjNet +3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.551 (#134) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.537 (#130) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#147) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.543 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 29 More → 1046 (#135) RD 152 | GP 29

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Brescia University Bearcats W 88 - 43
2012-11-15 @ Auburn Tigers W 79 - 59
2012-11-16 vs St. John's Red Storm W 72 - 67
2012-11-18 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 74 - 81
2012-11-24 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 79 - 72
2012-11-26 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 88 - 79
2012-12-04 vs Bethel College (TN) Wildcats W 76 - 54
2012-12-08 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 82 - 70
2012-12-16 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 75 - 70
2012-12-19 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 61 - 54
2012-12-22 @ Dayton Flyers L 68 - 77
2012-12-29 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 64 - 66
2013-01-03 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 73 - 62
2013-01-05 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 74 - 66
2013-01-09 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 65 - 77
2013-01-12 @ Austin Peay Governors W 71 - 68
2013-01-17 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 70 - 49
2013-01-19 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 70 - 61
2013-01-24 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 47 - 39
2013-01-26 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 64 - 65
2013-02-02 vs Austin Peay Governors W 75 - 68
2013-02-07 vs Belmont Bruins W 79 - 74
2013-02-09 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 69 - 48
2013-02-14 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 60 - 65
2013-02-16 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 70 - 79
2013-02-20 @ Morehead State Eagles W 106 - 100
2013-02-23 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 73 - 62
2013-02-28 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 68 - 69
2013-03-02 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 68 - 84
2013-03-08 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 81 - 73
2013-03-09 @ Belmont Bruins L 68 - 70

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Canaan Isaiah Canaan G 31 36.5 21.8 3.5 4.3 1.5 0.1 3.2 3.4 24.7 110 25 4.4 4.9 49.1 40.4 83.3 3.6 277.4 59.0
Stacy Wilson Stacy Wilson G-F 31 30.2 13.5 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 2.8 2.1 16.3 69 25 2.8 3.8 45.3 35.5 78.9 -0.91 288.8 53.9
Edward Daniel Edward Daniel F 31 29.6 13.2 10.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.0 1.2 23.9 169 25 6.8 9.4 54.1 0 57.1 6.27 349.2 54.1
Brandon Garrett Brandon Garrett F 31 24.6 6.6 5.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.0 11.4 16 25 0.6 1.1 70.0 0 70.6 -2.54 274.8 70.0
Dexter Fields Dexter Fields G 31 26.8 6.5 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.1 0.9 9.6 4 25 0.2 0.2 41.4 42.9 50.0 -5.41 339.7 62.1
Latreze Mushatt Latreze Mushatt F 17 20.6 4.4 3.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.9 7.4 -13 15 -0.9 -1.7 37.5 25.0 25.0 -3.82 211.1 40.6
Jeffery Moss Jeffery Moss F 29 21.4 4.4 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.0 0.8 6.8 90 24 3.8 7.3 26.1 26.7 100.0 0.69 260.5 34.8
Tyler Rambo Tyler Rambo F 12 7.5 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 2.2 -7 7 -1.0 -5.2 0.0 0 100.0 -2.86 406.6 0.0
Erik McCree Erik McCree F 20 10.2 1.9 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 3.5 -4 16 -0.2 -1.2 20.0 0.0 100.0 -2.1 182.0 20.0
Terron Gilmore Terron Gilmore F 11 10.1 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.0 -31 8 -3.9 -23.0 100.0 0 100.0 -5.05 531.9 100.0
C.J. Ford C.J. Ford G 26 9.0 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.3 2.8 -11 21 -0.5 -2.7 22.2 25.0 100.0 -3.36 182.2 27.8
Zay Henderson Zay Henderson F 15 6.9 1.3 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 2.7 13 14 0.9 7.9 66.7 0 0.0 0.7 155.3 66.7
Jordan Burge Jordan Burge G 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.65 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG