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Morehead St.

Season:
Also known as: Morehead St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1028 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 999 (#178) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.0 (#221) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.378 (#216) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.4 More → 0.336 (#223) NetEff -5.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.5 More → 0.321 (#218) AdjNet -6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.7 More → 0.315 (#216) AdjNet -6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.386 (#223) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 66.7

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.