🐻⬇️🏀

South Carolina Upstate

Also known as: South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

65.5
PPG
49.8
Opp
+15.8
Margin
40.2%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
45.8
RPG
10.5
APG
21.3
TO
71.9
Est. poss./game
57.7
Adj PPG
54.1
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 875 (returning production + recruiting): last season 924, returning -55, transfers +7, freshmen +0 More → 879 (#240) Preseason prior 875 (returning production + recruiting): last season 924, returning -55, transfers +7, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +187 elo More → 926 (#232) HCA +187 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +187 elo More → 970 (#210) HCA +187 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -6.4 (#227) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.3 (#226) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.304 (#203) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.415 (#196) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.412 (#196) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.454 (#184) AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 54.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.480 (#176) AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 54.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.409 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.415 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 196 | GP 2 More → 913 (#235) RD 196 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.327 (#221) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 58 - 65
2026-11-04 vs Johnson Royals W 82 - 51
2026-11-07 vs Southern Wesleyan Warriors W 68 - 33
2026-11-10 @ South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs W 54 - 50
2026-11-14 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Clemson Tigers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grace Booth Grace Booth G 4 27.5 12.2 11.2 1.5 1.2 0.0 1.8 13.0 11.5 55 3 18.3 28.3 34.6 0.0 81.2 4.18 41.5 34.6
Keira Hudson Keira Hudson G 4 19.5 10.5 1.8 1.2 1.5 0.5 3.5 7.2 4.8 38 3 12.7 27.0 55.2 50.0 66.7 1.86 63.7 62.1
Aubrie Kierscht Aubrie Kierscht G 2 23.0 10.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 2.5 6 2 3.0 5.1 35.3 46.2 100.0 -1.21 55.9 52.9
Emma Blair Emma Blair F 4 22.0 8.0 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.8 9.0 28 3 9.3 18.8 52.6 0 92.3 0.06 64.7 52.6
Haylie Lamonde Haylie Lamonde G 3 18.7 6.3 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.0 1.7 6.0 3.7 26 2 13.0 34.9 33.3 23.1 66.7 0.96 46.0 41.7
Lexi Castator Lexi Castator G 4 19.8 5.8 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.2 3.2 6.2 29 3 9.7 22.6 61.5 44.4 75.0 -1.49 77.9 76.9
Vera Söderblom Vera Söderblom F 4 17.5 5.8 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 2.8 6.2 5.2 28 3 9.3 21.0 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.9 41.6 40.0
Madison Miller Madison Miller F 3 10.3 4.7 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.0 3.0 3.3 19 3 6.3 24.5 55.6 100.0 37.5 -1.11 55.9 61.1
Jessa Troy Jessa Troy G 2 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.5 6 2 3.0 20.3 25.0 25.0 75.0 0.03 52.1 37.5
Kinley Paterson Kinley Paterson G 4 19.5 2.8 3.0 2.8 1.0 0.8 2.8 3.8 3.8 21 3 7.0 14.3 33.3 0.0 50.0 -2.65 34.6 33.3
Izzy Callaway Izzy Callaway G 3 9.3 2.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.3 3.7 1.0 19 2 9.5 30.4 27.3 25.0 0 -0.06 36.4 36.4
Zoe Richardson Zoe Richardson F 4 16.2 2.2 4.8 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.8 4.0 14 3 4.7 11.2 36.4 0 50.0 0.4 37.9 36.4
Macy Wike Macy Wike G 4 14.8 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 2.8 -1.2 6 3 2.0 4.9 18.2 22.2 0 -3.42 27.3 27.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

228 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Booth23% Booth33% Booth50% Hudson100% Blair50% Castator100% Kierscht25% Castator100% Lamonde33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Söderblom31% Booth42% Richardson40% Booth50% Richardson33% Castator67% Wike100% Lamonde18% Booth25% Lamonde32%
Misses: who misses most here

Grace BoothKeira HudsonEmma BlairLexi CastatorVera SöderblomHaylie LamondeAubrie KierschtZoe RichardsonMacy Wike

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 47-82 57.3 94 Grace Booth 23% (22 pts) Emma Blair 17% (16 pts) Vera Söderblom 31% (11 misses) Grace Booth 26% (9 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 18-56 32.1 36 Grace Booth 33% (12 pts) Keira Hudson 28% (10 pts) Grace Booth 42% (16 misses) Keira Hudson 11% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 2-7 28.6 4 Grace Booth 50% (2 pts) Keira Hudson 50% (2 pts) Zoe Richardson 40% (2 misses) Aubrie Kierscht 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-4 50.0 4 Keira Hudson 100% (4 pts) - Grace Booth 50% (1 misses) Haylie Lamonde 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-8 25.0 4 Emma Blair 50% (2 pts) Zoe Richardson 50% (2 pts) Zoe Richardson 33% (2 misses) Emma Blair 17% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-5 40.0 6 Lexi Castator 100% (6 pts) - Lexi Castator 67% (2 misses) Macy Wike 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Macy Wike 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 12-34 35.3 36 Aubrie Kierscht 25% (9 pts) Izzy Callaway 17% (6 pts) Haylie Lamonde 18% (4 misses) Macy Wike 18% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-5 20.0 3 Lexi Castator 100% (3 pts) - Grace Booth 25% (1 misses) Izzy Callaway 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-25 24.0 18 Haylie Lamonde 33% (6 pts) Keira Hudson 33% (6 pts) Haylie Lamonde 32% (6 misses) Aubrie Kierscht 21% (4 misses)