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Mississippi State

Also known as: Mississippi State Bulldogs, Mississippi State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

54.0
PPG
69.5
Opp
-8.9
Margin
37.0%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
65.9%
FT%
28.7
RPG
9.7
APG
12.3
TO
72.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1599 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1537 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 932 (#515) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +31.7 (#72) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.5 (#251) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.076 (#116) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -31.9 More → 0.024 (#282) NetEff -31.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.9 More → 0.082 (#110) AdjNet -20.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.081 (#110) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.366 (#548) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.524 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 32 More → 942 (#275) RD 132 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Troy Trojans L 53 - 56
2012-11-13 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 78 - 58
2012-11-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 49 - 95
2012-11-20 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 62 - 89
2012-11-21 @ Texas Longhorns L 55 - 69
2012-11-27 vs Alcorn State Braves W 60 - 42
2012-12-01 @ Providence Friars L 63 - 73
2012-12-04 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 53 - 42
2012-12-15 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 51 - 59
2012-12-22 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 79 - 72
2012-12-30 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 57 - 59
2013-01-03 vs New Orleans Privateers W 97 - 46
2013-01-09 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 56 - 54
2013-01-12 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 72 - 61
2013-01-16 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 43 - 75
2013-01-19 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 57 - 72
2013-01-23 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 70 - 96
2013-01-26 vs Florida Gators L 47 - 82
2013-01-30 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 49 - 55
2013-02-02 vs LSU Tigers L 68 - 69
2013-02-06 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 75 - 93
2013-02-09 @ Florida Gators L 58 - 83
2013-02-13 vs Missouri Tigers L 36 - 78
2013-02-16 @ LSU Tigers L 68 - 80
2013-02-20 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 56 - 64
2013-02-23 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 31 - 72
2013-02-27 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 55 - 85
2013-03-02 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 73 - 67
2013-03-06 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 72 - 79
2013-03-09 vs Auburn Tigers W 74 - 71
2013-03-13 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 70 - 59
2013-03-14 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 53 - 69

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Sword C. Sword G 32 26.7 10.5 2.9 2.3 1.7 0.4 4.0 1.8 12.1 - - - 49.1 41.2 45.2 -0.61 237.1 55.3
J. Steele J. Steele G 18 26.6 10.1 2.9 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.8 3.1 10.1 -87 -4.8 -7.7 38.2 41.7 92.3 -0.14 149.9 47.3
F. Thomas F. Thomas G 32 28.7 9.7 3.5 1.3 1.8 0.8 1.5 2.0 13.6 -174 -5.4 -8.3 26.6 21.9 84.6 -0.22 221.6 32.0
C. Borchert C. Borchert F 29 27.0 9.0 5.0 1.3 1.1 1.2 2.3 2.0 13.4 -54 -1.9 -3.1 40.4 36.4 66.7 0.62 204.4 47.4
R. Johnson R. Johnson F 28 26.1 8.8 4.5 0.4 0.8 0.5 2.5 1.1 11.5 176 5.5 8.3 35.5 66.7 68.4 0.88 312.5 38.7
G. Ware G. Ware F 32 25.8 8.4 6.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 13.5 -197 -6.2 -10.5 65.4 0 46.2 -0.58 212.8 65.4
W. Lewis W. Lewis C 8 21.0 8.1 4.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.5 0.1 12.9 -38 -4.8 -9.9 100.0 0 100.0 -0.24 2256.9 100.0
T. Bloodman T. Bloodman G 32 29.1 6.1 3.2 2.3 1.2 0.0 2.8 0.8 9.4 -117 -3.7 -6.2 50.0 12.5 69.0 0.19 266.6 52.1
T. Cunningham T. Cunningham G 32 20.7 2.4 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 0.5 5.4 -216 -6.8 -11.7 37.5 18.2 100.0 -0.73 228.1 43.8
B. Price B. Price G 21 4.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.0 -105 -5.0 -20.1 0.0 0 0 -0.58 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG