Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallace * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Chubb * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| A. Payne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| F. Sullivan * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J. Price * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Denson | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 37 | - |
| N. Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Dixon-Tatum | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Greene Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bloodman * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Sword * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 31 | - |
| C. Borchert * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 34 | - |
| G. Ware * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| F. Thomas | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| R. Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| T. Cunningham | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Price | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter