Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 (49-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elston Turner Jr. * | 43 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -2 | +0.3 |
| Fabyon Harris * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +3.0 |
| J-Mychal Reese * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Kourtney Roberson * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | +3.4 |
| Ray Turner * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Alex Caruso | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Jarod Jahns | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Andrew Young | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Jordan Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Ware * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +13.4 |
| Jalen Steele * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Colin Borchert * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Craig Sword * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | -13.1 |
| Roquez Johnson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Fred Thomas | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Tyson Cunningham | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +12.8 |
| Baxter Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
* = starter