Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +25 (83-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Borchert * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| G. Ware * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Sword * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Bloodman * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| F. Thomas | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Cunningham | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| B. Price | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boynton * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Murphy * | 26 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| P. Young * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Frazier II * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Rosario * | 24 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| S. Wilbekin | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Prather | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Walker | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Ogbueze | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Graham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Kurtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter