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2012-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (34.3 off)
Pythagorean 7.6% 92.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +46 (95-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bloodman * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 5 6 10 -
R. Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 12 19 -
W. Lewis * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 10 19 -
C. Sword * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 6 5 -
F. Thomas 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 7 7 -
G. Ware 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 2 8 17 -
T. Cunningham 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
B. Price 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 4 10 16 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 16 25 -
D. Strickland * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 6 0 0 10 22 -
M. Paige * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 2 6 -
D. Hubert * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 6 10 -
J. James 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 0 2 12 -
L. McDonald 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 21 25 -
P.J. Hairston 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 3 0 18 27 -
B. Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 2 12 -
J.P. Tokoto 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
L. Davis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Simmons 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
F. Tanner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Moody 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Manor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter