Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | +17.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +21.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +46 (95-49). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trivante Bloodman * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -29.6 |
| Roquez Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | -28.3 |
| Wendell Lewis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | -21.7 |
| Craig Sword * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -18.9 |
| Fred Thomas | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -28.5 |
| Gavin Ware | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -16.5 |
| Tyson Cunningham | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -18.5 |
| Baxter Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | +15.4 |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | +16.1 |
| Dexter Strickland * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | +8.8 |
| Marcus Paige * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Desmond Hubert * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Joel James | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +20.4 |
| Leslie McDonald | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 25 | +28.3 |
| P.J. Hairston | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 27 | +10.5 |
| Brice Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +11.9 |
| J.P. Tokoto | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Luke Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +15.2 |
| Jackson Simmons | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +16.8 |
| Frank Tanner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Wade Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| James Manor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Denzel Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
* = starter