Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Tennessee Volunteers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +15 (72-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trivante Bloodman * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Jalen Steele * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Craig Sword * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Colin Borchert * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Gavin Ware * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Fred Thomas | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Roquez Johnson | 26 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -4.7 |
| Tyson Cunningham | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McRae * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Jarnell Stokes * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +8.9 |
| Skylar McBee * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Kenny Hall * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Trae Golden | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Armani Moore | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | +12.1 |
| Derek Reese | 12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Yemi Makanjuola | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
* = starter