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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2020 Team Stats (17 games)

75.3
PPG
72.1
Opp
+3.2
Margin
46.0%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
34.1
RPG
14.6
APG
9.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.5
Adj PPG
62.1
Adj Opp PPG
#18
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1288 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1160 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1042 (#128) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.9 (#15) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +15.8 (#13) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.748 (#50) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.1 More โ†’ 0.935 (#15) AdjNet +23.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More โ†’ 0.937 (#15) AdjNet +23.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 62.1 More โ†’ 0.787 (#18) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 62.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 64.8 More โ†’ 0.693 (#22) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 64.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.803 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.787 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1166 (#64) RD 85 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs App State Mountaineers W 79 - 71
2019-11-12 vs Creighton Bluejays W 79 - 69
2019-11-15 vs Elon Phoenix W 70 - 50
2019-11-22 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 111 - 68
2019-11-27 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 83 - 76
2019-11-28 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 73 - 64
2019-11-29 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 82 - 64
2019-12-03 @ Louisville Cardinals L 43 - 58
2019-12-06 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 103 - 91
2019-12-11 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 62 - 71
2019-12-14 vs Oregon Ducks L 70 - 71
2019-12-21 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 86 - 44
2019-12-29 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 86 - 60
2020-01-05 @ Michigan State Spartans L 69 - 87
2020-01-09 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 84 - 78
2020-01-12 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 67 - 75
2020-01-17 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 83 - 90
2020-01-22 vs Penn State Nittany Lions L 63 - 72
2020-01-25 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 62 - 64
2020-01-28 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 68
2020-02-01 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 69 - 63
2020-02-04 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 61
2020-02-08 vs Michigan State Spartans W 77 - 68
2020-02-12 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 79 - 54
2020-02-16 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 89 - 65
2020-02-19 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 60 - 52
2020-02-22 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 71 - 63
2020-02-27 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 74 - 81
2020-03-01 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 77
2020-03-05 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 82 - 58
2020-03-08 @ Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 83
2020-03-12 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Livers Isaiah Livers - 19 31.1 13.6 3.9 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 6.5 12.5 91 17 5.4 7.0 41.9 38.7 95.5 3.67 96.9 51.6
Zavier Simpson Zavier Simpson - 28 33.6 13.1 4.7 8.1 1.1 0.1 3.2 8.1 15.8 61 26 2.3 2.8 47.3 36.8 58.1 -0.1 72.4 52.0
Franz Wagner Franz Wagner - 26 30.8 11.8 5.7 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.4 6.2 12.7 10 24 0.4 0.5 45.1 30.4 83.7 1.19 84.8 53.7
Jon Teske Jon Teske C 29 27.8 11.2 6.6 1.1 1.0 1.9 1.6 6.5 13.8 108 27 4.0 5.8 51.6 23.9 74.6 3.18 75.3 54.5
Eli Brooks Eli Brooks G 28 32.4 11.0 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.3 6.5 9.9 103 26 4.0 5.0 42.5 37.0 68.8 1.02 78.7 51.9
David Dejulius David Dejulius - 29 20.9 7.1 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.5 74 27 2.7 5.5 39.2 32.1 78.8 0.88 76.2 46.2
Brandon Johns Brandon Johns - 28 19.8 6.1 3.9 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 3.3 7.6 70 26 2.7 5.3 46.2 31.0 63.6 2.86 80.0 53.2
Austin Davis Austin Davis F 24 10.7 4.9 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.0 -9 21 -0.4 -1.5 65.4 0 46.2 -1.51 101.4 65.4
Colin Castleton Colin Castleton - 23 7.7 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.1 4.8 76 21 3.6 19.0 36.0 0.0 83.3 3.15 112.4 36.0
Cole Bajema Cole Bajema - 8 4.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 3.1 32 8 4.0 39.9 83.3 50.0 100.0 1.85 189.0 91.7
A. Nuรฑez A. Nuรฑez G 20 7.5 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.8 69 18 3.8 20.6 36.0 31.6 0 0.78 78.0 48.0
C.J. Baird C.J. Baird F 6 4.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 18 7 2.6 28.0 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.62 77.3 33.3
Jaron Faulds Jaron Faulds F 5 1.8 0.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 1.6 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.81 200.0 100.0
Luke Wilson Luke Wilson G 5 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 1 5 0.2 4.0 25.0 25.0 0 -1.36 37.5 37.5
Rico Ozuna-Harrison Rico Ozuna-Harrison G 4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.81 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG