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2020-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hamlin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Dosunmu * 38 11-18 2-3 3-3 7 2 0 0 4 27 14 -
D. Williams * 31 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
K. Cockburn * 30 2-9 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 25 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Frazier * 21 3-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
A. Feliz 27 5-9 0-0 5-6 7 2 0 0 1 15 14 -
K. Nichols 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Jones 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Simpson * 37 7-12 0-0 3-6 3 3 1 0 1 17 11 -
E. Brooks * 31 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 4 7 -
F. Wagner * 31 4-11 1-6 3-6 8 1 0 1 0 12 11 -
J. Teske * 29 4-14 1-6 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 12 4 -
I. Livers * 20 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
D. DeJulius 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Johns Jr. 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Davis 12 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Castleton 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter