🐻⬇️🏀

Michigan Wolverines 19-12
@
2020-03-12
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 20-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Rutgers Scar... Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 35.8% (#35) 64.2% (#34) Rutgers... -2.9 71-74
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 41.7% (#61) 58.3% (#52) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 45.2% (#15) 54.8% (#28) Rutgers... -1.1 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 47.2% (#50) 52.8% (#53) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 52.9% (#15) 47.1% (#24) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 52.9% (#15) 47.1% (#22) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 47.1% (#18) 52.9% (#30) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Michigan Wolverines Rutgers Scar...
Games 31 30
PPG 75.0 69.4
FG% 46.2% 44.2%
3PT% 33.9% 30.9%
FT% 71.7% 64.6%
RPG 36.1 40.2
APG 14.6 12.4
SPG 5.5 6.6
BPG 4.5 4.6
TOPG 10.7 12.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Michigan Wolverines Rutgers Scar...
Adj. Off Eff 111.6 110.8
Adj. Def Eff 88.4 89.2
Adj. Net Eff 23.1 21.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Michigan Wolverines Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Zavier Simpson 12.9 4.5 7.9 1.0 0.1 33.7
Eli Brooks 10.6 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2 32.0
Isaiah Livers 12.9 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.7 31.5
Franz Wagner 11.6 5.6 1.0 1.3 0.6 30.8
Jon Teske 11.6 6.7 1.1 1.0 1.8 27.9

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Geo Baker 10.9 3.0 3.5 1.1 0.6 28.9
Ron Harper Jr. 12.1 5.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 28.1
Akwasi Yeboah 9.8 4.8 0.9 0.8 0.5 23.8
Myles Johnson 7.8 7.9 1.0 0.5 1.5 23.6
Montez Mathis 7.4 3.5 1.2 1.0 0.1 22.6