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2019-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Log Adjusted 54.8% 45.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Livers * 37 4-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 12 9 -
Z. Simpson * 36 4-14 0-2 1-2 4 8 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Teske * 31 7-11 1-4 1-1 7 0 1 1 2 16 12 -
E. Brooks * 27 6-12 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 12 4 -
F. Wagner * 27 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 3 3 4 -1 -
D. DeJulius 19 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
C. Castleton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Johns Jr. 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
A. Nuñez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 36 6-13 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 0 4 14 8 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 35 6-10 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 12 9 -
K. Cockburn * 30 6-14 0-1 7-9 10 1 0 4 1 19 19 -
T. Frazier * 25 3-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 8 3 -
D. Williams * 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
A. Feliz 23 6-9 1-1 0-3 3 1 0 0 2 13 6 -
K. Nichols 14 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 0 3 0 1 5 5 -
A. Griffin 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter