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2019-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% +3.8 ✓ (5.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - ✓
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 ✓ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (71-62). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Livers * 37 4-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 12 9 -
Zavier Simpson * 36 4-14 0-2 1-2 4 8 0 0 1 9 6 -
Jon Teske * 31 7-11 1-4 1-1 7 0 1 1 2 16 12 -
Eli Brooks * 27 6-12 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 12 4 -
Franz Wagner * 27 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 3 3 4 -1 -
David DeJulius 19 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
Colin Castleton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brandon Johns Jr. 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
A. Nuñez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 36 6-13 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 0 4 14 8 -
Giorgi Bezhanishvili * 35 6-10 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 12 9 -
Kofi Cockburn * 30 6-14 0-1 7-9 10 1 0 4 1 19 19 -
Trent Frazier * 25 3-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 8 3 -
Da'Monte Williams * 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
Andres Feliz 23 6-9 1-1 0-3 3 1 0 0 2 13 6 -
Kipper Nichols 14 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 0 3 0 1 5 5 -
Alan Griffin 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter