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2020-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% +4.5 โœ— (12.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 โœ— (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -8 (63-71). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Livers * 36 5-11 1-5 8-8 6 0 1 2 0 19 17 -
Zavier Simpson * 35 0-10 0-5 4-8 7 6 1 0 1 4 7 -
Franz Wagner * 33 9-13 3-5 1-2 5 3 2 0 1 22 18 -
Jon Teske * 26 5-13 1-3 0-1 5 4 0 1 0 11 8 -
Eli Brooks * 21 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
David DeJulius 24 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 3 2 0 1 6 8 -
Austin Davis 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Brandon Johns Jr. 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sasha Stefanovic * 32 3-5 3-3 4-4 4 1 0 1 3 13 11 -
Eric Hunter Jr. * 30 3-9 0-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
Evan Boudreaux * 28 1-3 0-1 2-2 15 0 0 0 1 4 15 -
Jahaad Proctor * 24 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Matt Haarms * 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 3 4 3 -
Trevion Williams 22 8-21 0-1 2-4 10 2 0 0 2 18 7 -
Nojel Eastern 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Isaiah Thompson 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Aaron Wheeler 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter