Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | +8.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (87-69). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Simpson * | 38 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Eli Brooks * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Johns Jr. * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 24 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| David DeJulius | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Austin Davis | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Nuñez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaron Faulds | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cole Bajema | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rico Ozuna-Harrison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Baird | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 38 | 11-19 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 9-14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Bingham Jr. * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Malik Hall | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Julius Marble | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Conner George | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brock Washington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Braden Burke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter