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Michigan

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History
Coach: John Beilein

2017 Team Stats (12 games)

73.1
PPG
68.8
Opp
+4.3
Margin
46.9%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
81.6%
FT%
28.8
RPG
13.3
APG
9.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.4
Adj PPG
61.7
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1442 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1279 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1186 (#9) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +18.0 (#19) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +19.9 (#11) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.803 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.4 More → 0.949 (#20) AdjNet +25.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.7 More → 0.951 (#20) AdjNet +25.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.821 (#20) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.774 (#9) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.884 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.878 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 39 More → 1301 (#17) RD 84 | GP 39

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Howard Bison W 76 - 58
2016-11-13 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 77 - 65
2016-11-17 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 79 - 61
2016-11-18 @ SMU Mustangs W 76 - 54
2016-11-23 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 46 - 61
2016-11-26 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 64 - 47
2016-11-30 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 70 - 73
2016-12-03 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 82 - 55
2016-12-06 vs Texas Longhorns W 53 - 50
2016-12-10 @ UCLA Bruins L 84 - 102
2016-12-13 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 97 - 53
2016-12-17 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 98 - 49
2016-12-22 vs Furman Paladins W 68 - 62
2017-01-01 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 83 - 86
2017-01-04 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 72 - 69
2017-01-07 vs Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 77
2017-01-11 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 69 - 85
2017-01-14 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 91 - 85
2017-01-17 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 64 - 68
2017-01-21 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 66 - 57
2017-01-26 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 90 - 60
2017-01-29 @ Michigan State Spartans L 62 - 70
2017-02-04 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 66 - 70
2017-02-07 vs Michigan State Spartans W 86 - 57
2017-02-12 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 75 - 63
2017-02-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 64 - 58
2017-02-19 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 78 - 83
2017-02-22 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 68 - 64
2017-02-25 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 82 - 70
2017-03-01 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 65 - 67
2017-03-05 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 93 - 57
2017-03-09 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 55
2017-03-10 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 74 - 70
2017-03-11 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 84 - 77
2017-03-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 71 - 56
2017-03-17 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 92 - 91
2017-03-19 @ Louisville Cardinals W 73 - 69
2017-03-23 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 69
2017-04-01 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 89 - 79

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Walton Jr. D. Walton Jr. G 29 35.3 15.4 4.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 1.7 5.4 19.2 55 36 1.5 5.2 39.2 37.9 91.4 0.3 118.1 50.6
Zak Irvin Zak Irvin G 29 35.7 13.0 4.7 3.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 5.7 14.1 41 36 1.1 3.7 49.4 43.3 50.0 -1.73 108.3 57.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 12 22.4 12.1 3.2 0.5 1.2 0.2 1.4 8.2 7.8 - - - - 55.1 39.0 75.0 - 65.7 63.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 25 23.8 11.3 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 1.4 0.9 14.7 - - - - 47.8 25.0 84.6 - 492.7 52.2
D.J. Wilson D.J. Wilson - 29 31.0 11.2 5.7 1.3 0.6 1.7 1.0 4.1 15.4 63 36 1.8 7.2 47.5 34.0 89.5 3.07 128.6 54.2
M. Abdur-Rahkman M. Abdur-Rahkman G 29 31.2 9.0 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.1 3.5 10.1 92 35 2.6 9.7 45.1 30.2 84.6 6.95 115.0 51.5
Duncan Robinson Duncan Robinson - 29 20.2 7.8 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 2.4 8.2 -4 36 -0.1 -0.5 44.3 42.9 63.6 -0.92 151.0 59.3
Mark Donnal Mark Donnal F 29 11.9 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 5.0 64 36 1.8 6.5 58.3 66.7 84.6 1.18 183.4 66.7
Ibi Watson Ibi Watson G 12 4.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.2 21 16 1.3 17.5 25.0 0.0 50.0 1.51 174.2 25.0
Zavier Simpson Zavier Simpson - 29 8.3 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.3 2.3 13 33 0.4 3.3 33.3 25.0 63.6 -0.69 115.6 38.9
Sean Lonergan Sean Lonergan F 12 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 2 13 0.2 3.0 0.0 0 0 -2.03 350.0 0.0
Fred Wright-Jones Fred Wright-Jones G 7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 -5 8 -0.6 -16.7 0 0 0 -2.46 0 0
Jon Teske Jon Teske C 15 2.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 -6 17 -0.4 -5.0 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0
Brent Hibbitts Brent Hibbitts - 7 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG