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2017-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Trice * 35 2-15 1-6 4-4 5 4 2 0 2 9 3 -
Z. Showalter * 35 2-7 1-3 3-3 8 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
N. Hayes-Davis * 33 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 2 6 6 -
E. Happ * 30 10-13 0-0 2-2 6 6 2 1 3 22 21 -
V. Brown * 18 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Iverson 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 10 7 -
J. Hill 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
A. Illikainen 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Thomas IV 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 27 8-14 3-6 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 21 12 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 5-8 1-2 1-1 4 3 1 0 2 12 10 -
D. Walton Jr. * 38 1-8 1-5 2-3 5 8 2 0 2 5 10 -
Z. Irvin * 38 6-12 2-5 4-6 5 3 2 0 1 18 15 -
M. Wagner * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 21 26 -
D.J. Wilson * 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
D. Robinson 20 2-4 2-4 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. Donnal 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Z. Simpson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Teske 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter