Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +20 (75-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| T. Abrams | 31 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Morgan | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Lucas | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Finke | 27 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Nichols | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Black | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Williams | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Walton Jr. | 37 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Z. Irvin | 37 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman | 35 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Wagner | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Robinson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Simpson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Donnal | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter