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2017-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carr * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 5 10 -
P. Banks * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 10 16 -
J. Reaves * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 11 15 -
L. Stevens * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 5 16 21 -
J. Moore * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
S. Garner 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 12 13 -
M. Watkins 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 9 20 -
N. Bostick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wilson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 12 20 -
Zak Irvin * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 14 23 -
D. Walton Jr. * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 14 23 -
Moritz Wagner * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 12 20 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Duncan Robinson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Mark Donnal 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Zavier Simpson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
Sean Lonergan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter