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2017-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Irvin 45 6-13 1-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
D. Walton Jr. 43 3-10 1-5 5-5 4 4 2 0 4 12 8 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman 40 3-9 0-3 4-4 7 0 1 1 1 10 9 -
D.J. Wilson 36 11-18 2-7 2-4 8 0 1 3 3 26 17 -
D. Robinson 26 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Wagner 17 0-5 0-2 5-6 3 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
M. Donnal 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Simpson 7 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Teske 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Swanigan 43 5-13 0-3 3-4 13 5 0 1 4 13 15 -
D. Mathias 43 1-8 1-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 3 0 -
P.J. Thompson 36 2-6 2-3 0-1 1 3 2 0 1 6 5 -
C. Edwards 28 7-10 2-3 1-2 3 2 3 0 4 17 11 -
V. Edwards 28 3-9 1-1 1-2 6 2 2 0 3 8 6 -
R. Cline 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
I. Haas 15 8-10 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 1 1 17 12 -
S. Albrecht 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter