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2017-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% +3.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 โœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (82-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Edwards 38 5-10 0-1 3-3 5 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
Caleb Swanigan 31 8-11 1-3 1-1 5 0 0 0 5 18 7 -
Dakota Mathias 31 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
P.J. Thompson 27 3-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Ryan Cline 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Carsen Edwards 24 7-14 4-6 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 18 8 -
Spike Albrecht 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Isaac Haas 11 4-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Walton Jr. 36 6-12 2-6 3-3 11 5 1 0 0 17 22 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman 34 3-4 0-1 4-4 1 3 2 0 3 10 9 -
D.J. Wilson 33 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 9 3 -
Zak Irvin 30 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -3 -
Moritz Wagner 27 10-15 4-8 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 24 13 -
Duncan Robinson 22 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
Zavier Simpson 11 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
Mark Donnal 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sean Lonergan 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter