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2017-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Edwards 38 5-10 0-1 3-3 5 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
C. Swanigan 31 8-11 1-3 1-1 5 0 0 0 5 18 7 -
D. Mathias 31 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
P.J. Thompson 27 3-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
R. Cline 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
C. Edwards 24 7-14 4-6 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 18 8 -
S. Albrecht 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Haas 11 4-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Walton Jr. 36 6-12 2-6 3-3 11 5 1 0 0 17 22 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman 34 3-4 0-1 4-4 1 3 2 0 3 10 9 -
D.J. Wilson 33 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 9 3 -
Z. Irvin 30 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -3 -
M. Wagner 27 10-15 4-8 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 24 13 -
D. Robinson 22 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
Z. Simpson 11 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
M. Donnal 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Lonergan 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter