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2017-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moritz Wagner 18 6-7 2-3 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 17 14 -
Zak Irvin * 37 5-8 1-4 2-4 5 4 2 0 1 13 15 -
D. Walton Jr. * 37 8-15 3-8 10-10 5 9 2 0 1 29 29 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 32 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
D.J. Wilson * 30 3-9 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 3 7 -2 -
Moritz Wagner * 18 6-7 2-3 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 17 14 -
Duncan Robinson 22 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 10 5 -
Mark Donnal 14 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Zavier Simpson 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dupree McBrayer * 40 5-10 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
Nate Mason * 40 10-23 1-6 2-2 6 4 1 0 0 23 11 -
Amir Coffey * 39 4-9 0-2 5-6 6 4 0 0 4 13 10 -
Jordan Murphy * 35 5-12 0-1 3-4 9 1 0 1 2 13 10 -
Reggie Lynch * 26 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 12 7 -
Eric Curry 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Michael Hurt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter